Quick Read
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$175K MAGI triggers tier 4 IRMAA, adding $385/month ($4,600/year) to 2026 Medicare premiums via two-year lookback.
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File Form SSA-44 immediately if income drops legitimately; run Roth conversions before age 63, not after.
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A 65-year-old single retiree with $1.4 million in a traditional 401(k) sets up what looks like a comfortable income plan. She pulls $90,000 a year from the 401(k), adds a small pension and a brokerage dividend stream, and lands at a modified adjusted gross income near $175,000. Her tax bill is manageable. Her Medicare bill is the surprise.
That MAGI puts her in the fourth IRMAA tier for 2026, the bracket covering single filers with income between $171,000 and $205,000 based on the 2024 return she filed last spring. The income test runs on a two-year lookback, which is the part most retirees miss until the letter from Social Security arrives.
What the surcharge actually costs
The standard Part B premium in 2026 is $203 a month. Her tier 4 IRMAA loads another $325 a month onto Part B and $60 a month onto Part D, for a total premium add-on of about $385 a month, or roughly $4,600 a year. If her MAGI had landed in tier 3 instead (between $137,000 and $171,000), the combined surcharge would have been about $240 a month, or $2,900 a year. The midpoint of that zone, where most readers in this profile actually live, is the $3,500 figure in the headline.
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The numbers matter because they compound a problem retirees are already feeling. Healthcare services spending hit $3,741.3 billion in March 2026, almost matching housing as the largest category in personal consumption. CPI is sitting at 330.3, with March alone adding 1.1%, and Core PCE has climbed steadily to 129. Premiums are running ahead of inflation.
Why a single year of income two years ago controls today’s premium
The mechanic that quietly does the damage is the lookback. Social Security uses the most recent IRS return on file, which is almost always two years stale. A retiree who took a one-time event at 63, a Roth conversion, the sale of a vacation property, an inherited IRA distribution, or a final-year bonus, will see the IRMAA bill arrive at 65 with no warning. The high-income year is gone. The surcharge is not.